tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 00:29 ANC → 05:00 SEA
    AS 221 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 SEA → 15:29 JFK
    AS 26 · Alaska · 5h 29m · 86% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip11h 00mANC 00:29 to JFK 15:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.