tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 00:29 ANC → 05:00 SEA
    AS 221 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 SEA → 13:57 MSP
    AS 555 · Alaska · 3h 22m · 86% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 3 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 28mANC 00:29 to MSP 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.