tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 00:29 ANC → 05:00 SEA
    AS 221 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:00 SEA → 12:03 ORD
    AS 578 · Alaska · 4h 03m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 3 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 34mANC 00:29 to ORD 12:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.