tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 00:29 ANC → 05:00 SEA
    AS 221 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:15 SEA → 15:45 JFK
    DL 429 · Delta · 5h 30m · 88% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 11h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip11h 16mANC 00:29 to JFK 15:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.