tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Newark via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 00:29 ANC → 05:00 SEA
    AS 221 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:30 SEA → 15:51 EWR
    UA 1900 · United · 5h 21m · 90% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 11h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip11h 22mANC 00:29 to EWR 15:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.