tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Honolulu via Kahului: arrives on time 66%

  1. 13:53 SEA → 16:59 OGG
    AS 223 · Alaska · 6h 06m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:58 OGG → 19:37 HNL
    AS 1175 · Alaska · 39m · 69% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 44mSEA 13:53 to HNL 19:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.