tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Fairbanks via Anchorage: arrives on time 66%

  1. 16:59 SEA → 19:38 ANC
    AS 225 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Anchorage (ANC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:38 ANC → 21:42 FAI
    AS 1612 · Alaska · 1h 04m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 43mSEA 16:59 to FAI 21:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.