tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Dulles via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 14:44 ANC → 19:18 SEA
    AS 226 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 83% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:43 SEA → 06:39 IAD +1 day
    AS 367 · Alaska · 4h 56m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip11h 55mANC 14:44 to IAD 06:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.