tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 71%

  1. 14:44 ANC → 19:18 SEA
    AS 226 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 83% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:41 SEA → 00:30 FAI +1 day
    DL 2186 · Delta · 3h 49m · 79% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip9h 46mANC 14:44 to FAI 00:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.