tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 14:44 ANC → 19:18 SEA
    AS 226 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 83% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:20 SEA → 06:34 JFK +1 day
    DL 452 · Delta · 5h 14m · 86% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip11h 50mANC 14:44 to JFK 06:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.