tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Honolulu via San Francisco: arrives on time 82%

  1. 09:30 JFK → 12:52 SFO
    AS 227 · Alaska · 6h 22m · 82% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:45 SFO → 19:25 HNL
    UA 1509 · United · 5h 40m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 15h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip15h 55mJFK 09:30 to HNL 19:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.