tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 30%

  1. 10:46 LIH → 19:24 SAN
    AS 228 · Alaska · 5h 38m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:19 SAN → 22:39 PHX
    AS 2049 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 20m · 36% on time, 15.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (15.4% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip8h 53mLIH 10:46 to PHX 22:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.