tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 26%

  1. 10:46 LIH → 19:24 SAN
    AS 228 · Alaska · 5h 38m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 SAN → 21:43 LAS
    AS 2274 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 28m · 35% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip7h 57mLIH 10:46 to LAS 21:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.