tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 35%

  1. 10:46 LIH → 19:24 SAN
    AS 228 · Alaska · 5h 38m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:00 SAN → 22:35 OAK
    WN 4841 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip8h 49mLIH 10:46 to OAK 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.