tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:23 BOI → 16:45 PDX
    AS 229 · Alaska · 1h 22m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 PDX → 19:30 SFO
    AS 504 · Alaska · 1h 54m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 07mBOI 16:23 to SFO 19:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.