tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 13:00 JFK → 16:19 SEA
    AS 23 · Alaska · 6h 19m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:43 SEA → 22:22 ANC
    AS 663 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 13h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 159 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip13h 22mJFK 13:00 to ANC 22:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.