tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Honolulu via Seattle: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:00 JFK → 16:19 SEA
    AS 23 · Alaska · 6h 19m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 SEA → 21:34 HNL
    AS 761 · Alaska · 6h 09m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 14h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip14h 34mJFK 13:00 to HNL 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.