tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Boise via Portland: arrives on time 61%

  1. 12:08 SFO → 13:50 PDX
    AS 235 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 62% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:58 PDX → 17:16 BOI
    AS 342 · Alaska · 1h 18m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 08mSFO 12:08 to BOI 17:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.