tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Medford via Portland: arrives on time 83%

  1. 12:08 SFO → 13:50 PDX
    AS 235 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 62% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 PDX → 18:48 MFR
    AS 2163 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 03m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 40mSFO 12:08 to MFR 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.