tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Everett via San Francisco: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:49 PDX → 16:40 SFO
    AS 236 · Alaska · 1h 51m · 73% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 SFO → 22:12 PAE
    AS 2083 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 05m · 46% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 23mPDX 14:49 to PAE 22:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.