tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Kailua/Kona via San Francisco: arrives on time 82%

  1. 14:49 PDX → 16:40 SFO
    AS 236 · Alaska · 1h 51m · 73% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:08 SFO → 21:45 KOA
    UA 731 · United · 5h 37m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 56mPDX 14:49 to KOA 21:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.