tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Honolulu via Kailua/Kona: arrives on time 84%

  1. 15:59 SEA → 19:05 KOA
    AS 238 · Alaska · 6h 06m · 77% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Kailua/Kona (KOA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 KOA → 21:33 HNL
    AS 1177 · Alaska · 48m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 34mSEA 15:59 to HNL 21:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.