tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Lihue via Kahului: arrives on time 58%

  1. 08:05 SEA → 11:19 OGG
    AS 245 · Alaska · 6h 14m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:16 OGG → 13:06 LIH
    AS 1049 · Alaska · 50m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 01mSEA 08:05 to LIH 13:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.