tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:00 OGG → 15:42 SEA
    AS 246 · Alaska · 5h 42m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 48mOGG 07:00 to SFO 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.