tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 07:00 OGG → 15:42 SEA
    AS 246 · Alaska · 5h 42m · 93% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:23 SEA → 21:16 SMF
    AS 638 · Alaska · 1h 53m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip11h 16mOGG 07:00 to SMF 21:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.