tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 27%

  1. 18:15 DEN → 20:17 SEA
    AS 249 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:04 SEA → 23:56 SAN
    AS 1472 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 41mDEN 18:15 to SAN 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.