tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 18:15 DEN → 20:17 SEA
    AS 249 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:27 SEA → 02:15 FAI +1 day
    AS 1512 · Alaska · 3h 48m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 2 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 00mDEN 18:15 to FAI 02:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.