tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 18:15 DEN → 20:17 SEA
    AS 249 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:27 SEA → 23:56 MSO
    AS 560 · Alaska · 1h 29m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 41mDEN 18:15 to MSO 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.