tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 62%

  1. 16:57 JFK → 20:08 SAN
    AS 25 · Alaska · 6h 11m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:47 SAN → 23:32 SMF
    AS 1621 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 35mJFK 16:57 to SMF 23:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.