tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Jose via San Diego: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:57 JFK → 20:08 SAN
    AS 25 · Alaska · 6h 11m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:24 SAN → 23:54 SJC
    AS 1624 · Alaska · 1h 30m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip9h 57mJFK 16:57 to SJC 23:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.