tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:42 GEG → 13:52 PDX
    AS 251 · Alaska · 1h 10m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:49 PDX → 16:40 SFO
    AS 236 · Alaska · 1h 51m · 73% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip3h 58mGEG 12:42 to SFO 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.