tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Jose via Portland: arrives on time 66%

  1. 11:58 KOA → 20:35 PDX
    AS 253 · Alaska · 5h 37m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PDX → 23:21 SJC
    AS 678 · Alaska · 1h 51m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 23mKOA 11:58 to SJC 23:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.