tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Honolulu via Kahului: arrives on time 45%

  1. 11:07 SAN → 14:12 OGG
    AS 254 · Alaska · 6h 05m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:04 OGG → 15:45 HNL
    AS 1145 · Alaska · 41m · 65% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 38mSAN 11:07 to HNL 15:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.