tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 36%

  1. 08:28 BOS → 11:43 SAN
    AS 256 · Alaska · 6h 15m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 SAN → 13:58 LAS
    AS 2255 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 28m · 56% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 30mBOS 08:28 to LAS 13:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.