tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 89%

  1. 21:19 KOA → 06:12 SEA
    AS 259 · Alaska · 5h 53m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:28 SEA → 09:26 SMF +1 day
    AS 682 · Alaska · 1h 58m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 07mKOA 21:19 to SMF 09:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.