tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 21:19 KOA → 06:12 SEA
    AS 259 · Alaska · 5h 53m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:45 SEA → 12:38 SAN +1 day
    DL 2533 · Delta · 2h 53m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 12h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip12h 19mKOA 21:19 to SAN 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.