tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 90%

  1. 21:19 KOA → 06:12 SEA
    AS 259 · Alaska · 5h 53m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:10 SEA → 12:18 SMF +1 day
    DL 4125 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip11h 59mKOA 21:19 to SMF 12:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.