tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Rosa via Santa Ana: arrives on time 81%

  1. 14:48 PDX → 17:19 SNA
    AS 264 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:14 SNA → 21:01 STS
    AS 3432 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 83% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 13mPDX 14:48 to STS 21:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.