tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Everett via Santa Ana: arrives on time 77%

  1. 14:48 PDX → 17:19 SNA
    AS 264 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:56 SNA → 21:40 PAE
    AS 2116 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 44m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 52mPDX 14:48 to PAE 21:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.