tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Newark via Santa Ana: arrives on time 87%

  1. 14:48 PDX → 17:19 SNA
    AS 264 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 92% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:15 SNA → 05:33 EWR +1 day
    UA 2186 · United · 5h 18m · 90% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 11h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip11h 45mPDX 14:48 to EWR 05:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.