tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:37 KOA → 19:02 SAN
    AS 266 · Alaska · 5h 25m · 77% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:47 SAN → 23:32 SMF
    AS 1621 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip9h 55mKOA 10:37 to SMF 23:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.