tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 29%

  1. 10:37 KOA → 19:02 SAN
    AS 266 · Alaska · 5h 25m · 77% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 17m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:19 SAN → 22:39 PHX
    AS 2049 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 20m · 36% on time, 15.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 17m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (15.4% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip9h 02mKOA 10:37 to PHX 22:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.