tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Las Vegas via San Diego: arrives on time 28%

  1. 10:37 KOA → 19:02 SAN
    AS 266 · Alaska · 5h 25m · 77% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 SAN → 21:43 LAS
    AS 2274 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 28m · 35% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip8h 06mKOA 10:37 to LAS 21:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.