tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Newark via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 16:30 ANC → 21:05 SEA
    AS 268 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 86% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SEA → 06:59 EWR +1 day
    AS 314 · Alaska · 5h 19m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 29mANC 16:30 to EWR 06:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.