tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Washington via Cleveland: arrives on time 89%

  1. 22:13 SEA → 05:43 CLE
    AS 269 · Alaska · 4h 30m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Cleveland (CLE) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:46 CLE → 10:09 DCA +1 day
    AA 4737 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 56mSEA 22:13 to DCA 10:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.