tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Newark via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 15:43 ANC → 20:17 SEA
    AS 272 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:00 SEA → 07:18 EWR +1 day
    UA 1274 · United · 5h 18m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 11h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 35mANC 15:43 to EWR 07:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.