tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Dulles via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 15:43 ANC → 20:17 SEA
    AS 272 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:20 SEA → 07:22 IAD +1 day
    UA 264 · United · 5h 02m · 91% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 11h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip11h 39mANC 15:43 to IAD 07:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.