tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fairbanks → Denver via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:00 FAI → 12:48 SEA
    AS 275 · Alaska · 3h 48m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:26 SEA → 20:10 DEN
    AS 602 · Alaska · 2h 44m · 76% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h ahead of Fairbanks). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip10h 10mFAI 08:00 to DEN 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.