tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:33 PHL → 10:32 SEA
    AS 277 · Alaska · 5h 59m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:44 SEA → 16:45 PHX
    AS 700 · Alaska · 3h 01m · 81% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 12h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip12h 12mPHL 07:33 to PHX 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.