tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 78%

  1. 17:37 PDX → 20:09 LAX
    AS 278 · Alaska · 2h 32m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:32 LAX → 23:59 SFO
    AA 6510 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 22mPDX 17:37 to SFO 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.